Todays Tropics

At this time there is nothing of a tropical nature forecast for the Gulf of America. While we could use the rain, we hope the Gulf remains quiet, tropical wise. Remember, we will not get to the peak of the 2025 tropical season until the 2nd week of September.

The first tropical wave in the Central Atlantic that the National Hurricane Center (NHC), AL90, is showing a 90% chance of development in the next 7 days.

All weather models are in agreement that this wave, will take a northwestward track, turn north, and then northeast out to sea, not impacting the Gulf or the U.S east coast.

The 2nd wave, out in the far eastern Atlantic, designated as AL99, now has a 50% chance of development over the next 7 days. As we have been saying for the last week, we really do need to keep our eyes on this one.

The latest from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is sort of changing its tune on AL99. Just yesterday, they were indicating that AL99 would basically enter an unfavorable area and just go away. This mornings update from the NHC now is backing away from that, say "The wave could reach a slightly more favorable environment again late this weekend into early next week as it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic and approaches the Lesser Antilles".

At this point, this is pure speculation by some. However, we do need to monitor this.

Forecasters that we watch very carefully are monitoring this very closely. It is a little early to know for sure yet. We should have more definitive information by Friday afternoon.

The 3rd wave just came off the coast of Africa and we will monitor that.

Here is the latest run of the European Model .

Keep in mind that we ARE getting into the real part of the hurricane season and to monitor the tropics. We will always try to keep correct information on our website and not get people into a panic.

As we always say, be sure to verify that your windstorm insurance is up to date be sure to check your potential tropical weather preps.

We hope you will forward our website info to your friends, neighbors, and family. It is always good to get the word out.

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